Annals of Clinical Epidemiology
Online ISSN : 2434-4338
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Factors affecting successful atropine therapy for infantile hypertrophic pyloric stenosis: a retrospective analysis using a nationwide database in Japan
Michimasa FujiogiNobuaki MichihataHiroki MatsuiKiyohide FushimiHideo YasunagaTetsuya IshimaruJun Fujishiro
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2019 Volume 1 Issue 1 Pages 4-10

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ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND

Intravenous atropine therapy (IAT) is feasible for infantile hypertrophic pyloric stenosis (IHPS). Currently, IAT is recommended for only patients with risks against surgery. However, reported proportions of successful IAT ranged widely, being from 70 to 90%. Factors related to successful IAT remain unknown. This study aimed to identify predictive factors of successful IAT for IHPS using a national inpatient database in Japan.

METHODS

Using the Diagnosis Procedure Combination database, we identified children with IHPS from July 2010 to March 2016. We compared patients’ characteristics between the IAT and surgery groups, and between the successful and unsuccessful IAT groups. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed for successful IAT.

RESULTS

We identified 1,822 eligible patients (526 IAT patients). IAT had a success rate of 73.4% (n = 386) and 140 unsuccessful patients subsequently underwent surgery. Body weight at admission in the successful group was significantly heavier than that in the unsuccessful group. The Multivariate logistic analysis showed that the proportion of successful IATs was significantly higher in the heavy weight (4,000–4,999 g) (odds ratio, 2.03; 95% confidence interval, 1.32–3.13) and very heavy weight (≥5,000 g) groups (odds ratio, 5.35; 95% confidence interval, 1.80–15.9) than in the middle weight (3,000–3,999 g) group.

CONCLUSIONS

Heavier body weight was associated with successful IAT. These results are useful for patients select therapeutic options for IHPS, including surgery and IAT.

INTRODUCTION

Infantile hypertrophic pyloric stenosis (IHPS) is a condition characterized by hypertrophy of the circular muscle of the pylorus, causing narrowing and elongation of the pyloric channel. The standard treatment for IHPS is extramucosal pyloromyotomy. This procedure has remained unimproved for a long time, except for minimally invasive access modifications that include circumumbilical incision [1] and the laparoscopic approach [2].

The effectiveness of non-surgical treatment, intravenous atropine therapy (IAT), for IHPS has mainly been reported from Japan [39]. Previous studies have reported that IAT is performed in approximately 30% of patients with IHPS in Japan [7]. Avoidance of surgery is the potential merit of IAT for patients and patients’ families. However, IAT has not gained wide acceptance in Western countries because IAT is not effective for all patients and is associated with a prolonged length of hospital stay [10]. Therefore, it is recommended that the IAT is reserved only in selected patients, such as those at high risk for general anesthesia or surgical procedures [10, 11]. Reported proportions of success of IAT ranged widely, being from 70 to 90% [48].

Several studies showed no significant differences in imaging, laboratory data (acid–base balance of venous blood gas, serum chloride, and serum potassium), clinical symptoms at presentation such as pyloric thickness and length; and duration of symptoms before admission between successful and unsuccessful IAT groups [4, 6, 12]. However, association between patients’ characteristic (such as body status and congenital malformation) and successful IAT remains controversial. A previous cohort study showed that successful IAT group had a significant heavier body weight than the unsuccessful IAT group, even though age was not significantly associated with successful IAT. [4]. Another study showed there was no significant difference in body weight at admission between 2 groups [6].

To address these knowledge gaps, this study aimed to compare patients’ characteristics between the successful and unsuccessful IAT groups and to identify predictive factors of successful IAT for IHPS using a national inpatient database in Japan.

METHODS

DATA SOURCE

This study was a retrospective, nationwide, observational study that used the Diagnosis Procedure Combination (DPC) database. All 82 academic hospitals are obliged to participate in this database, but participation by community hospitals is voluntary. The database included the following data: unique identifiers of hospitals; patients’ age, body weight, body height, and sex; emergent or elective admission; diagnoses, comorbidities at admission, and complications after admission recorded with text data in the Japanese language and the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10), codes [13]; procedures; drugs; devices; length of stay (LOS); and discharge status. Vital signs, current symptoms, and laboratory data for each patient are not included in the DPC database. Discharge abstract data for each patient are recorded at discharge by the attending physicians. A previous study showed that the validity of diagnoses and procedure records in the DPC database was high in general [14].

The present study was based on a secondary analysis of the administrative claims data. The requirement for informed consent was waived because of the anonymous nature of the data. Study approval was obtained from the Institutional Review Board at The University of Tokyo.

STUDY POPULATION

We identified the pediatric population (0–100 days old) who were admitted with a diagnosis of IHPS between July 2010 and March 2016. IHPS was identified from the Japanese text-based diagnosis of IHPS and the specific ICD-10 code, Q400. Patients were identified with the diagnosis of IHPS and management with IHPS-specific treatments (atropine and/or pyloromyotomy). We excluded patients whose outcome data were missing (e.g., transfer to another hospital). We also excluded those who were treated with the oral form of atropine for initial treatment.

MEASUREMENTS OF VARIABLES

The following patients’ characteristics were collected: sex, age, body weight at admission, congenital malformations, chronic medical conditions (heart, kidney, pulmonary, endocrine, gastrointestinal, neurological diseases, cancer or leukemia, and autoimmune diseases), and hospital volume. Body weight at admission was classified into the following four groups: group A, ≤2,999 g; B, 3,000–3,999 g; C, 4,000–4,999 g; and D, ≥5,000 g. Age was classified into the following three groups: <28, 28–59, or ≥60 days old. We also examined the following congenital malformations: circulatory system, (ICD-10 code, Q20–Q28), respiratory system (Q30–Q34), digestive system (Q38–Q45), and chromosomal abnormalities (Q90–Q99). The number of chronic medical conditions was defined according to the pediatric complex chronic conditions classification system version 2 [15]. The number of complex chronic comorbidities was classified as zero, one, or ≥two. Hospital volume was defined as the average annual number of IATs for IHPS performed at each hospital and was categorized into <three or ≥three times per year.

Successful IAT was defined as discharge without surgical intervention and readmission (within 30 days from discharge) for surgical intervention. Surgical success was defined as discharge without complications requiring reoperation and without atropine therapy (intravenous or oral) after surgery (including readmission). Complications included bleeding (ICD-10 codes: T810, T811, K661), surgical site infection (T793, T814), peritonitis or peritoneal abscess (K65), ileus (K56, K913), respiratory complications (J14–18, J95.8, J95.9, J96.0, J96.9), urinary tract infection (N10, N30, N39.0), shock (R57), and gastric or duodenal perforation (S363–4, K631).

STATISTICAL ANALYSES

We compared the patients’ background, LOS, and complications after admission between the IAT and surgery groups. We used Fisher’s exact test and the chi-square test to compare proportions for categorical variables (e.g., sex), and the t-test and Mann–Whitney U test to compare means or medians for continuous variables (e.g., age). We compared the patients’ background between the successful and unsuccessful IAT groups. We also conducted a trend analysis by the Cochran–Armitage test to compare the association between body weight and the success rate [16, 17]. We performed multivariable logistic regression analysis for successful IAT with adjustment for characteristics of patients and hospitals. To account for clustering of patients within hospitals, the logistic regression model was fitted with a generalized estimating equation. The covariates included age at admission, sex, body weight at admission, congenital malformations, the number of complex chronic conditions, and annual hospital volume for IAT. Missing data are described in Table 1, and patients with incomplete data were excluded from the regression model. We used a significance level of p < 0.05 for all statistical tests, and all reported p values were two-sided. All statistical analyses were conducted using Stata/MP 14.0 (Stata Corp., College Station, TX, USA).

Table 1 Patients’ characteristics of IHPS in the IAT and surgery groups
Atropine therapy
(n = 526)
Surgery
(n = 1,296)
Total
(n = 1,822)
p value
n (%) n (%) n (%)
Sex
 Male 440 (83.7) 1,073 (82.8) 1,513 (83.0) 0.66
Age at admission (days)
 <28 141 (26.8) 323 (24.9) 464 (25.5) 0.32
 28–59 319 (60.7) 833 (64.3) 1,152 (63.2)
 ≥60 66 (12.6) 140 (10.8) 206 (11.3)
Body weight at admission (g)
 Group A (≤2,999) 49 (9.3) 124 (9.6) 173 (9.5) 0.23
 Group B (3,000–3,999) 256 (48.7) 691 (53.3) 947 (52.0)
 Group C (4,000–4,999) 169 (32.1) 380 (29.3) 549 (30.1)
 Group D (≥5,000) 41 (7.8) 72 (5.6) 113 (6.2)
 Missing 11 (2.1) 29 (2.2) 40 (2.2)
Congenital malformations
 Circulatory system 22 (4.2) 26 (2.0) 48 (2.6) 0.009
 Respiratory system 2 (0.4) 2 (0.2) 4 (0.2) 0.33
 Digestive system 7 (1.3) 5 (0.4) 12 (0.7) 0.048
 Chromosomal abnormalities 1 (0.2) 0 0.0 1 (0.1) 0.29
Number of complex chronic conditions <0.001
 0 471 (89.5) 1,226 (94.6) 1,697 (93.1)
 1 43 (8.2) 65 (5.0) 108 (5.9)
 ≥2 12 (2.3) 5 (0.4) 17 (0.9)

IHPS, infantile hypertrophic pyloric stenosis; IAT, intravenous atropine therapy

SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS

We excluded patients transferred to other hospital in the main analysis. However, if majority of patients who underwent IAT were transferred to other hospital to receive surgery, the results might be biased. We therefore classified patients transferred to other hospital to the unsuccessful group, and performed another multivariable logistic regression analysis for successful IAT as a sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

We identified 1,906 patients with IHPS who received atropine or pyloromyotomy during the study period. We excluded patients whose outcome data were missing (n = 67) and those who were treated with the oral form of atropine for initial treatment (n = 17). Therefore, we identified 1,822 eligible patients, including 526 (29%) patients with IAT and 1,296 (71%) patients who underwent surgery.

There were no significant differences in age, sex, and body weight at admission between the IAT and surgery groups. Patients with congenital malformations (circulatory system and digestive system) and those with complex chronic conditions were significantly less likely to receive surgery (Table 1).

IAT was successful in 386 of 526 (73.4%) patients. All patients with unsuccessful IAT (n = 140) subsequently underwent an operation for IHPS. Surgery was successful in 98.8% of the patients; reoperation was performed in four (0.3%), and postoperative atropine therapy (intravenous or oral form) was performed for 11 (0.9%) patients. The median (interquartile range) LOS was 13 days (9–17 days) in the IAT group and 8 days (6–10 days) in the surgery group. The LOS was significantly longer in the IAT group than in the surgery group (p < 0.001). The proportion of complications was significantly lower in the IAT group than in the surgery group (1.0% vs. 2.5%, p = 0.04).

Table 2 shows the patients’ characteristics of IAT between the successful and unsuccessful IAT groups. The mean (standard deviation) age at admission was significantly older in the successful IAT group than in the unsuccessful IAT group (40(17) vs. 34(16) days, p < 0.001). The mean body weight was significantly heavier in the successful IAT group than in the unsuccessful IAT group (3,946(774) g vs. 3,592(671) g, p < 0.001). Sex, congenital malformations, and the number of complex chronic conditions were similar in both groups.

Table 2 Comparison of clinical factors between the successful and unsuccessful IAT groups
Successful IAT (n = 386) Unsuccessful IAT (n = 140) p value
n (%) n (%)
Sex
 Male 321 (83.2) 119 (85.0) 0.61
Age at admission (days)
 <28 90 (23.3) 51 (36.4) 0.007
 28–59 242 (62.7) 77 (55.0)
 ≥60 54 (14.0) 12 (8.6)
Body weight at admission (g)
 Group A (≤2,999) 30 (7.8) 19 (13.6) 0.001
 Group B (3,000–3,999) 176 (45.6) 80 (57.1)
 Group C (4,000–4,999) 136 (35.2) 33 (23.6)
 Group D (≥5,000) 37 (9.6) 4 (2.9)
 Missing 7 (1.8) 4 (2.9)
Congenital malformations
 Circulatory system 18 (4.7) 4 (2.9) 0.46
 Respiratory system 1 (0.3) 1 (0.7) 0.46
 Digestive system 5 (1.3) 2 (1.4) 1.00
 Chromosomal abnormalities 1 (0.3) 0 0.0 1.00
Number of complex chronic conditions 0.64
 0 348 (90.2) 123 (87.9)
 1 30 (7.8) 13 (9.3)
 ≥2 8 (2.1) 4 (2.9)
Annual hospital volume of IAT for IHPS 0.44
 Low (<3 cases) 323 (83.7) 121 (86.4)
 High (≥3 cases) 63 (16.3) 19 (13.6)

IAT, intravenous atropine therapy; IHPS, infantile hypertrophic pyloric stenosis

There was a significant association between higher proportion of successful IAT and heavier body weight (p < 0.001, Fig. 1).

Fig. 1 The correlation between success rate of intravenous atropine therapy and the body weight in IHPS.

There was a linear association between a heavier body weight and higher success rate. The success rate in group A (≤2,999 g) and group D (≥5,000 g) was 61.2% and 90.2%, respectively.

Table 3 shows the results of multivariable logistic regression analysis for successful IAT. With reference to group B, a higher proportion of successful IATs was significantly associated with heavier body weight at admission in groups C (odds ratio, 2.03; 95% confidence interval, 1.32–3.13) and D (odds ratio, 5.35; 95% confidence interval, 1.80–15.9). Older patients tended to have a higher proportion of successful IATs, but this was not significant. Hospital volume was not significantly associated with successful IAT.

Table 3 Multivariable logistic regression analysis using a generalized estimating equation for successful IAT
Variables Successful IAT p value
Odds ratio 95% CI
Sex
 Female Ref
 Male 0.99 0.57–1.73 0.98
Age at admission (days)
 <28 Ref
 28–59 1.13 0.71–1.82 0.60
 ≥60 0.87 0.42–1.82 0.71
Weight at admission (g)
 Group A (≤2,999) 0.70 0.31–1.57 0.39
 Group B (3,000–3,999) Ref
 Group C (4,000–4,999) 2.03 1.32–3.13 0.001
 Group D (≥5,000) 5.34 1.80–15.9 0.003
Congenital malformations
 Circulatory system 1.80 0.62–5.2 0.28
 Respiratory system 0.13 0.002–8.10 0.33
 Digestive system 1.38 0.13–14.6 0.79
Number of complex chronic conditions
 0 Ref
 1 1.17 0.55–2.48 0.68
 ≥2 1.55 0.21–11.5 0.67
Annual hospital volume of IAT for IHPS
 Low (<3) Ref
 High (≥3) 1.67 0.61–4.56 0.32

IAT, intravenous atropine therapy; IHPS, infantile hypertrophic pyloric stenosis; CI, confidence interval; Ref, reference

In the sensitivity analysis, with reference to group B, a higher proportion of successful IATs was also significantly associated with heavier body weight at admission in groups C (odds ratio, 1.65; 95% confidence interval, 1.14–2.39) and D (odds ratio, 3.01; 95% confidence interval, 1.27–7.13).

DISCUSSION

This study, which used a large, nationwide inpatient database, showed that the proportion of successful IAT was 73.4% and weight at presentation was associated with successful IAT.

The definitive cause for IHPS remains unknown. A previous study reported that tonic and phasic pyloric contractions frequently occurred in patients with IHPS. Intravenous atropine suppressed such incoordination transiently [18]. However predictive factor affecting successful IAT is unknown. Several studies showed that no significant differences in duration of vomiting before admission; laboratory data including acid–base balance; and thickness and length of pyloric muscle between successful and unsuccessful IAT groups[4, 6, 12].One study reported that a predictive factor of unsuccessful IAT was projectile vomiting that occurred more than five times by day 3 after starting intravenous atropine [6]. This may lead to the decision of converting IAT to surgery. However, this factor is not available for prediction of outcome before starting IAT.

Several studies on atropine treatment for IHPS compared body weight at admission between successful and unsuccessful IAT groups [4, 6, 12]. All of these studies reported a tendency that the successful IAT group had a heavier body weight than the unsuccessful IAT group. Although there was no detailed information on body weight in these studies, this finding supports our finding in the present study.

In Western countries, IAT is not generally recommended for patients with IHPS because of its lower success rate and longer LOS. Atropine therapy is recommended only for selected patients with a high risk for general anesthesia or surgical procedures [10, 11]. As suggested in these reports, patients with congenital malformations (circulatory system and digestive system) and complex chronic conditions were significantly more likely to receive IAT in the present study. However, IAT was also selected for patients without risks. IAT may have been selected according to not only the patient’s condition but also other reason such as the wishes of the patient’s family. Various complications of surgery were reported, including a complication rate of 1% in incomplete pyloromyotomy, 0.7% in mucosal perforation, and 1.5% in surgical site complications [19, 20]. Because the reported complication rate is low, and the success rate is high, pyloromyotomy is the standard treatment for patients without risks.

It may be chosen IAT for patients without risks to avoid surgery in consideration of various reason (e.g., the wishes of the patient’s family). Our results suggest that body weight at presentation can be a factor which should be taken into consideration for selecting IAT as the first-line treatment.

This study showed that there was no significant relationship between hospital volume and success of IAT after adjustment for characteristics of patients and hospitals. In Japan where IAT is frequently performed, IAT can also be adequately performed in low-volume hospitals. Therefore, the difference in treatment outcomes between hospitals may have been reduced.

Several limitations of this study should be acknowledged. First, we were unable to assess atropine-specific adverse events, such as tachycardia and flushing, because of the nature of the database. Reported proportions of atropine-specific adverse events were 0–33.3%. However, IAT was associated with only minor complications[10]. Second, we did not know detailed treatment methods, such as dosing frequency, dosing interval, and amount of milk per one time because of the nature of the database. Third, although the database included approximately 50% of all acute care inpatient data in Japan[14], participation in this database was voluntary for each institution, and patient selection was not based on a random sampling method. Hence, the generalizability of this results may be limited.

CONCLUSION

This retrospective, nationwide study in Japan where IAT is widely applied shows that heavier body weight was associated with successful IAT. We should choose either surgery or IAT for IHPS with consideration for weight at presentation as well as the risk of operation.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

This work was supported by grants from the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, Japan (H29-Policy-Designated-009 and H29-ICT-General-004); and the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology, Japan (17H04141).

CONFLICT OF INTEREST

None declared.

REFERENCES
 
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